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My case for solar and STP

April 23rd, 2008 by helpfulfacts

Got in on STP at 46.25 today.  If you look at the chart on the stock today the range has been wild.  But it is staying within the 200 and 20 day moving averages.  As of today those values are 50.05 and 46.66 with 44.90 as 50 day moving average.  There should be strong support at these levels and the charts confirm channel trading since beginning of April.  FSLR reports next wednesday.  Assuming big profits, expect whole industy to get a boost.   Hopefully, a runup preearnings will drive this industry and take profits before next wednesday.

Posted in Off Topics |

RIO - C & H

April 20th, 2008 by stockcaca

Commodities, high accumulation

Started on 2/28 -4/9

Top - 37-ish, Bottom - 29.50, $7.50

Posted in Off Topics |

Case study of Ford

April 20th, 2008 by helpfulfacts

This is a classic breakout with all the right signs of support.
High volume, high accumulation and a significant breakout which hasn’t completed yet.

Not bad for 20+% gain if you caught the breakout and 50+% if you caught it near the bottom. Notice also the 2 bull flags along the way.

ford1.JPG

Posted in Off Topics, Stock Market |

DE - Cup & Handle

April 19th, 2008 by stockcaca

Agriculture Machinery is hot…OBV is high. Volume is increasing..RSI is also

Started: 3/06-4/08, Target $100, 1 Month

Top of Cup: $89..Bottom: $78

de_apr1920081.jpg

Posted in Off Topics |

yge - C&H

April 19th, 2008 by stockcaca

Solar is HOT, hitting 200MA, Volume is increasing

Started: 2/15 - 4/07

Top of Cup, $23.50. Bottom, $13.50…Target $30, 2 months

yge_apr1920081.jpg

Posted in Off Topics |

DRYS - C&H

April 19th, 2008 by stockcaca

Top of Cup - 73ish -> Support…..Target 85

Started: 3/06 - 4/09 , Hitting 200MA

Volume is not strong

drys_apr192008.jpg

Posted in Off Topics |

nvda - descending triangle

April 19th, 2008 by stockcaca

Widest - 22.90 - 17.31 -> $5 Wide

Length - 2/17 - 4/18 (Present)

Short around $19.50..Support $20.50. Target $16.50

nvda_apr192008.jpg

Posted in Off Topics |

Apr 18

April 18th, 2008 by stockcaca

pds_apr1820081.jpg

lnn_apr182008.jpg


cnq_apr182008.jpg

Posted in Off Topics |

List of ETFs for reference

April 12th, 2008 by helpfulfacts

US Indexes
DIA Dow30
DDM Dow30 2x long
DOG Dow30 short
DXD Dow30 2x short
QQQQ Nasdaq100
QLD Nasdaq100 2x long
PSQ Nasdaq100 short
QID Nasdaq100 2x short
OEF SP100
SPY SP500
SSO SP500 2x long
SH SP500 short
SDS SP500 2x short
IVV SP500
IWV SP500 Growth
IVE SP500 Value
MDY SP400
IJH SP400
MVV SP400 2x long
MYY SP400 short
MZZ SP400 2x short
IJK SP400 Growth
IJJ SP400 Value
IJR SP600
SDD SP600 2x short
IJT SP600 Growth
IJS SP600 Value
IWB Russell1000
IWF Russell1000 Growth
SFK Russell1000 Growth 2x short
IWD Russell1000 Value
SJF Russell1000 Value 2x short
IWM Russell2000
UWM Russell2000 2x long
RWM Russell2000 short
TWM Russell2000 2x short
IWO Russell2000 Growth
SKK Russell2000 Growth 2x short
IWN Russell2000 Value
SJH Russell2000 Value 2x short
IWV Russell3000
IWZ Russell3000 Growth
IWW Russell3000 Value
IWC Russell MicroCap
IWR Russell MidCap
IWP Russell MidCap Growth
SDK Russell MidCap Growth 2x short
IWS Russell MidCap Value
SJL Russell MidCap Value 2x short
VTI Vanguard Total Market
VUG Vanguard Growth
VTV Vanguard Value
VV Vanguard Large Cap
VO Vanguard MidCap
VB Vanguard SmallCap
VBK Vanguard SmallCap Growth
VBR Vanguard SmallCap Value
PWB Dynamic Large Cap
PWJ Dynamic MidCap Growth
DVY Dow Select Dividend
RSP Rydex SP Equal Weight
World Indexes
EWA Australia
EWO Austria
EWK Belgium
EWZ Brazil
BIK BRIC 40
EWC Canada
FXI China
GXC China
PGJ China
CHN China
FXP China 2x short
EEB BRIC
EWQ France
EWG Germany
EWH Hong Kong
INP India
IFN India
EWI Italy
EWJ Japan
EWV Japan 2x short
EWM Malaysia
EWW Mexico
RSX Russia
EWS Singapore
EZA South Africa
EWY South Korea
EWP Spain
EWD Sweden
EWL Switzerland
EWT Taiwan
EWU United Kingdom
ILF Latin American 40
EPP Pacific ex-Japan
VGK European
FEZ Euro STOXX 50
IEV Europe 350
VEA Europe Pacific
VEU All World ex-USA
VPL Pacific
IOO Global 100
EEM Emerging Markets
VWO Emerging Markets
ADRE Emerging Markets 50
EUM Emerging Markets short
EEV Emerging Markets 2x short
PID Int’l Dividend Achievers
Commodities
XLB Materials
IYM Basic Materials
SMN Basic Materials 2x short
GSG Commodities
RJI Commodities
DBC Commodities
RJA Commodities - Ag
DBA Commodities - Ag
GDX Gold
GLD Gold
IAU Gold
DGP Gold 2x long
DZZ Gold 2x short
SLV Silver
XME Metals & Mining
IGE Natural Resources
SLX Steel
KOL Coal
DBB Base Metals
PHO Water Resources
CGW Claymore SP Global Water
IYE Energy
XLE Energy
OIH Oil Services
XOP Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
DUG Oil & Gas 2x short
USO United States Oil
IEO US Oil & Gas
UNG United States Natural Gas
US Sectors
PPA Aerospace & Defense
KBE Banks
IAT Banks, Regional
KRE Banks, Regional
RKH Banks, Regional
BBH Biotech
XBI Biotech
BDH Broadband
IAI Broker-Dealers
KCE Capital Markets
PBW Clean Energy
XLY Consumer Discretionary
SZK Consumer Goods 2x short
IYC Consumer Services
SCC Consumer Services 2x short
XLP Consumer Staples
IYG Financial Services
IYF Financials
VFH Financials
XLF Financials
UYG Financials 2x long
SKF Financials 2x short
MOO Global Agribusiness
XLV Health Care
RXD Health Care 2x short
IHF Healthcare Provider
ITB Home Construction
XHB Home Construction
XLI Industrials
SIJ Industrials 2x short
VGT Information Technology
KIE Insurance
HHH Internet
IAH Internet Architecture
IBB Nasdaq Biotech
IGN Networking
PPH Pharmaceutical
IYR Real Estate
RWX Real Estate
URE Real Estate 2x long
SRS Real Estate 2x short
ICF Realty Majors
RWR REIT
VNQ REIT
RTH Retail
XRT Retail
IGW Semiconductors
SMH Semiconductors
SSG Semiconductors 2x short
IGV Software
SWH Software
IGM Technology
IYW Technology
XLK Technology
REW Technology 2x short
IYZ Telecom
TTH Telecom
IYT Transports
UTH Utilities
XLU Utilities
SDP Utilities 2x short
Currencies
FXA Australian Dollar
FXB British Pound Sterling
FXC Canadian Dollar
FXE Euro
FXY Japanese Yen
FXM Mexican Peso
FXS Swedish Krona
FXF Swiss Franc
Fixed Income
AGG Aggregate Bond
BND Total Bond Market
BWX Intl Treasury Bond
IEF Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
LQD Invest Grade Corp Bond
SHY 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
TIP TIPS Bond
TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond

Posted in Off Topics |

Rules of the Trade

March 11th, 2008 by helpfulfacts

1. Get educated - If you are not, the market will make you pay. If you play the market without educating yourself, the market will inevitably take your hard earned money. You may get lucky once or twice, but in the long run the market will take it all. It is definitely cheaper to get educated about the market rather than learn by trial and error.

2. Don’t trade with capital you cannot afford to lose - The stress of trading is high enough. Scared money never makes money. The market is unforgiving and will take your last dime if you let it. Trade only with capital that you can afford to lose.

3. Know why you are entering a position - Don’t gamble and enter a position just to be in the market. Enter with a plan. Have a target for the position that you enter. More importantly, have an exit strategy for the position if you are wrong. Jesse Livermore, one of the greatest traders to ever live, said 10% was the most he was willing to lose on a single trade.

4. Never average down on a losing position - If you have entered a position and you are wrong why compound that loss by adding more. In 2000, we recall many people averaging down on long positions only to see them fall lower. Example, Bought LU(Lucent) @ $80.00 in the year 2000. Added more stock in 2001 @ $45. In 2004, the stock we trading at $2.50. Never average down on you’re losing positions. It is a recipe for disaster.

5. Never put all of your capital on one position - If you leverage yourself too much on one position you will not be able to take another position should a better one come along. Also, it becomes very difficult to control emotions when you are over leveraged in one stock.

6. Sell your losing positions and keep your winners - It is human nature to want to keep your losing position until you are even or positive. Most investors sell the winning position to hold the loser. However, the winner continues to win and the loser continues to lose. We’ve seen this happen time and time again. Remember keep your winners and cut the losers.

7. Let your winning position run and cut your losers fast - This is a hard one. Many times when you get a small profit you take it too quickly only to see the position go to new highs. Know why you are selling the winner. That is how you make the big profits.

8. Never change your stop price - Once you place a stop price, whether physical or mental, always abide by it. So many times we have seen stops ignored and the losses become enormous. Stops are a form of damage control or insurance. If you loose too much on a given position, it could knock you out of the game completely.

9. Learn to lose small - The market is unforgiving. This is a humbling profession and in order to survive you must keep all losses small and understand that they will happen. Once you learn to lose small, you will be on your way to success.

10. Buying and selling on news and tips is always wrong - News and tips are the same. The market/stock already has the news priced in. This is why many times a stock sells off on great news and rallies on bad news. It’s already factored in.

11. Trade what you see, not what you believe - As much as you hope, pray, wish…a trade will act the way it will act. Watch price action and charts; it tells you everything. Once you turn towards faith and hope, just get out!

12. Entry points are everything - The correct entry point will make all the difference. Step back, and wait patiently. If you miss it, we promise another trade will come along shortly.

13. Quick and easy - A day trade is supposed to work out in an allotted time. This time should be thought about prior to entering a trade. Once in the trade, if it doesn’t materialize within that time frame, chances are it will turn out to be a loss. Dump the position if it doesn’t work out in that time frame. Example - Entering a long position as a day trade, we expect a run-up in price within 5 minutes. If we’re still sitting in that position in 10 minutes, chances are it’s either losing already or will become a loser. Take the FLAT OUT or SMALL LOSS!

14. Stops - Always use stops. Even better, use a mental stop, but only if you truly can abide by it.

15. Big loss - No profitable day trader takes a big loss. Small losses are the key to success. If you are making $200 per day trade, then the most you should ever lose on one day trade is $200. Example of the wrong way - If you make $200 on 9 straight trades and on the 10th trade you lose $2,000, how much did I make or lose? (-$200). You might be batting 90%, but you’re a losing trader!

16. Patience - Trading is like being a lion and waiting in the long grasses to pounce. Stay back and wait for the perfect time to jump on the trade. Do not worry if you have not made a trade all day. One will come along. Jumping out at the wrong time will only mean you go hungry.

17. Entering the trade - Before buying or selling a swing trade or day trade always do your DD (due diligence). Analyze the charts, read the technicals and fundamentals, then enter. Know the reason you are entering, and know what you expect to make out of it. Never let it become a losing trade.

18. Never let a winner become a loser - Never enter a position, be in the money significantly, and then watch as that position becomes a loser. Once you are in the money on a trade, set a stop at least at break even, or set a trailing stop.

19. Never let your emotions affect your trade - A good trader has no emotions. We are supposed to trade based only on what we see. Just because you’re trade was up $1000 dollars 10 minutes ago and now is only up $700, doesn’t mean you shouldn’t sell at +$700. Too many times we have seen people get attached to their max profit and only realize their mistake when that position goes negative. Any profit is a good profit.

20. No trader ever went broke taking a profit.

21. Bulls make money, Bears make money, but Pigs get slaughtered - Stay humble in the market. Expect each position to pay you off, but don’t expect too much. Be smart about knowing when you have made enough. Get out and wait for the next trade.

22. Tips are factored in as well - The market is like a time machine and will amaze you at what is already factored into the price. Many times a stock will sell off on good news. Buy on rumor Sell on news.

23. Market knows best - Realize that the market is always right. If a stock is falling/rising there is a reason. Do not try and force your views on the stock. It’s a losing battle.

Posted in Off Topics, Stock Market |

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